Ovarian cancer risks increase with birth cohort in BRCA carriers and decrease in the general population. The reason is unknown.
Objective
BRCA1/2
carriers are at increased risk of ovarian cancer, and some reports
suggest an increasing risk in more recent birth cohorts. In contrast,
decreasing incidences have been observed in the general population. The
aim was to assess the birth cohort effect on ovarian cancer risk in BRCA1/2 carriers relative to their background general population.
Methods
Data on ovarian cancer incidence was collected for a cohort of 1050 BRCA1/2
mutation carriers ascertained by our regional clinic and retrieved from
the general Dutch population cancer registry. Birth cohorts were
categorized as pre-1935, 1935–1953, post-1953. Birth cohort effects on
the ovarian cancer risk were estimated using hazard ratios (HRs) in BRCA1/2
carriers and Poisson rate ratios in the general population.
Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated to compare
populations. HRs were adjusted for mutation position and family history.
Results
Compared to the pre-1935 cohort, BRCA1 carriers in the 1935–1953 and post-1953 cohorts had an increased ovarian cancer risk of HRadjusted 1.54 (95% CI 1.11–2.14) and 2.40 (95% CI 1.56–3.69), respectively. BRCA2 carriers in the 1935–1953 cohort had an HRadjusted of 3.01 (95% CI 1.47–6.13). The SIRs for the 1935–1953 and post-1953 cohorts were 1.7 and 2.7, respectively, for the BRCA1 carriers and 1.6 times and 2.4 times, respectively, for BRCA2 carriers.
Conclusions
Mutation carriers, particularly BRCA1
carriers, born in the most recent cohorts, have the highest additional
ovarian cancer risk as compared to the general population.
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