open access
Background:
We
provide an up-to-date international comparison of cancer survival,
assessing whether England is ‘closing the gap’ compared with other
high-income countries.
Methods:
Net survival was estimated using national, population-based, cancer registrations for 1.9 million patients diagnosed with a cancer of the stomach, colon, rectum, lung, breast (women) or ovary in England during 1995–2012. Trends during 1995–2009 were compared with estimates for Australia, Canada, Denmark, Norway and Sweden. Clinicians were interviewed to help interpret trends.Results:
Survival
from all cancers remained lower in England than in Australia, Canada,
Norway and Sweden by 2005–2009. For some cancers, survival improved more
in England than in other countries between 1995–1999 and 2005–2009; for
example, 1-year survival from stomach, rectal, lung, breast and ovarian
cancers improved more than in Australia and Canada. There has been
acceleration in lung cancer survival improvement in England recently,
with average annual improvement in 1-year survival rising to 2%
during 2010–2012. Survival improved more in Denmark than in England for
rectal and lung cancers between 1995–1999 and 2005–2009.
Conclusions:
Survival has increased in England since the mid-1990s in the context of strategic reform in cancer control, however, survival remains lower than in comparable developed countries and continued investment is needed to close the international survival gap.
The gap in cancer survival between
England and comparable countries has galvanised policymakers and
clinicians since EUROCARE first launched its European survival
comparisons (Berrino et al, 1995).
Evidence that survival is generally lower in England has led to target
setting and increased investment, aiming to raise survival in England to
the standards achieved elsewhere.
Since the
Calman–Hine Report recommended strategic improvements to cancer services
in England, there has been a series of policy initiatives to improve
survival (Expert Advisory Group on Cancer, 1995). The NHS Cancer Plan for England (Department of Health, 2000)
was the second national cancer plan in the world (following Norway's).
It emphasised centralisation, specialisation and use of
multi-disciplinary teams (MDTs). A further suite of measures to improve
prevention, earlier diagnosis and patient management was launched
through the Cancer Reform Strategy (Department of Health, 2007) to address continuing concerns about the survival deficit in comparison to other high-income countries.
Trends in 1- and 5-year net survival in Australia (A), Canada (C),
Denmark (D), England (E), Norway (N) and Sweden (S) by period of
diagnosis. Estimates of net survival are presented for the calendar
periods of diagnosis 1995–1999, 2000–2004 and 2005–2009. Simple linear
regression lines are presented for each combination of country and
cancer using data from these three periods, to indicate the average
change in survival. An estimate of net survival for England only is also
presented for the calendar period of diagnosis 2010–2012.
.... For example, during 2000–2009, the percentage of women with ovarian cancer receiving surgery who were treated in a specialist trust rose from 43 to 76%, and the number treated by a specialist surgeon (caseload of >18 patients per year) rose from 20 to 55% (Butler et al, 2015).....
.....Despite steady improvement in survival from stomach, colon, rectal, lung, breast and ovarian cancers in England over the past two decades, survival remained lower than in Australia, Canada, Norway and Sweden for patients diagnosed in 2005–2009, and typically also for patients diagnosed in 2010–2012 in England compared with those diagnosed in 2005–2009 elsewhere. The improvement in survival between 1995–1999 and 2005–2009 was sometimes larger than in the leading countries, particularly in comparison with Australia, Canada and Sweden, leading to some narrowing of the international cancer survival gap......
..... Evidence that survival in England improved faster than in other countries during 1995–2009 was strongest in relation to Australia, Canada and Sweden. This could be explained by a partial ‘ceiling effect’ in those countries, given that they generally had the highest survival at the beginning of the study period. Alternatively, more regionalised health systems in those three countries might have limited the efficacy of national cancer control strategy and the power of national guidelines......
.... For example, during 2000–2009, the percentage of women with ovarian cancer receiving surgery who were treated in a specialist trust rose from 43 to 76%, and the number treated by a specialist surgeon (caseload of >18 patients per year) rose from 20 to 55% (Butler et al, 2015).....
.....Despite steady improvement in survival from stomach, colon, rectal, lung, breast and ovarian cancers in England over the past two decades, survival remained lower than in Australia, Canada, Norway and Sweden for patients diagnosed in 2005–2009, and typically also for patients diagnosed in 2010–2012 in England compared with those diagnosed in 2005–2009 elsewhere. The improvement in survival between 1995–1999 and 2005–2009 was sometimes larger than in the leading countries, particularly in comparison with Australia, Canada and Sweden, leading to some narrowing of the international cancer survival gap......
..... Evidence that survival in England improved faster than in other countries during 1995–2009 was strongest in relation to Australia, Canada and Sweden. This could be explained by a partial ‘ceiling effect’ in those countries, given that they generally had the highest survival at the beginning of the study period. Alternatively, more regionalised health systems in those three countries might have limited the efficacy of national cancer control strategy and the power of national guidelines......